This article will be regularly updated based on the latest information (list of recent changes can be found at the end of the article). You can easily access the article from the main menu in the “Compendiums” section.
Super Heavy Starship (SHS) is a proposed super heavy-lift launch system designed by SpaceX for missions to Mars, the Moon and many other applications. It could become the largest rocket in history and is expected to eventually replace all current SpaceX spacecraft. Thanks to complete reusability and capability to refuel in orbit, SHS could provide low-cost transportation of cargo and people to virtually anywhere in the Solar System. On top of that, this new rocket can theoretically be used as an extremely fast transport system between any two points on Earth. In this article, you will find all the important and most up-to-date information about Super Heavy Starship, which is being built right now.
Note: To prevent confusion, I’m calling the entire stack “Super Heavy Starship” to differentiate it from “Starship”, which I’m using only for the upper stage/spaceship portion of the vehicle.
Last Update: April 30, 2019
Skip to section:
- Project History
- Super Heavy Starship System
- Stainless Steel vs. Carbon Composites
- Thermal Protection System
- Raptor Engine
- Super Heavy (First Stage)
- Starship (Second Stage)
- Starship Test Vehicles
- Launch Pads
- SHS Production
- SHS Applications
- Project dearMoon (Lunar Flyby)
- Financing the Development of SHS
- Development Schedule and Planned Launches
- Relevant Links and Videos
Super Heavy Starship is the latest iteration of the Big Falcon Rocket (BFR), formerly known as Mars Colonial Transporter, which was first publicly presented in 2016 under the name Interplanetary Transport System (ITS). At that time the rocket had a diameter of 12 meters and a height of 122 meters. A year later, however, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk introduced a revised version that had a 9-meter diameter and a height of 106 meters. Musk called it BFR, which until then was only the internal designation of the project. In addition, this scaled-down BFR was newly equipped with a small delta wing for better maneuverability in different environments, as the ship is designed to be operated not only on Earth and Mars, but also on the Moon or basically anywhere in the Solar System. Then, in 2018, the BFR underwent additional changes, the most significant of which was the addition of several aerodynamic surfaces to help stabilize the ship when passing through atmospheres of Earth and Mars.
The hull and tanks were originally made of carbon composites, and in recent years SpaceX has produced several rocket parts using this material. In 2016, the company showed a giant oxygen tank for the 12-meter-diameter ITS rocket. However, in February 2017, the tank was destroyed during refueling tests. Subsequently, a smaller BFR variant was introduced, and during 2018 the production of a 9-meter tank began. But at the end of 2018, Elon Musk announced that Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy will not receive any more major upgrades and the company will instead focus on the development of Super Heavy Starship. At the same time, we learned that SHS would use stainless steel instead of carbon composites. When asked what was the main reason for such radical rocket design changes, Musk replied: “Time. Although it also turned out to be dramatically better.”
Super Heavy Starship System
The first stage of the rocket is called the Super Heavy and the second stage is called Starship. According to Elon Musk, it is also possible to use the term “Starship” for the entire stack. Both stages are 9 meters in diameter and together they measure 118 meters in height, making SHS the tallest rocket ever (Saturn V measured 111 meters). SHS is supposed to be able to carry up to 100 tons of cargo to low Earth orbit (and after refueling in orbit it should be able to deliver 100 tons to Mars). SHS will have the highest payload capacity of all the rockets in history, yet due to its complete reusability, it will also be the cheapest rocket in terms of marginal cost. Price per launch is expected to be in single-digit millions of dollars. In contrast, Falcon 9 costs at least $50 million USD. Musk commented on the price: “This will sound implausible, but I think there’s a path to build Starship / Super Heavy for less than Falcon 9.” Musk also believes that Super Heavy Starship’s cost per kilogram of cargo to low Earth orbit will be at least 10 times lower than Falcon 9.
After launching, Starship can either put cargo into orbit and then land back on Earth, or it can wait on orbit for other ships to fill it up with fuel and oxygen, and then head for the Moon or Mars with full tanks. Refueling takes place by connecting two ships in low Earth orbit together at the aft end and then accelerating slightly with RCS to move the liquids in the desired direction. If Starship then goes to the Moon, the spacecraft doesn’t need to refuel after landing. The amount of fuel the ship carries is sufficient to return to Earth. On Mars, however, the ship would need to refuel with propellants produced directly on the Red Planet. Starship can then take off again and return to Earth with 20 to 50 tons of cargo.
Like the Falcon 9, Super Heavy Starship uses subcooled fuel, which allows the rocket to carry 10 to 12% more of it in the same volume. But unlike Falcon rockets which uses kerosene, SHS will burn methane.
RCS thrusters on both rocket stages were originally supposed to be quite powerful, use methane and, according to Musk, “will be closer in design to the Raptor main chamber than SuperDraco and will be pressure-fed to enable lowest possible impulse bit (no turbopump spin delay).” Eventually, however, the plans were simplified and Elon Musk announced that SHS would only be equipped with less powerful compressed nitrogen thrusters.
In the case of Falcon rockets, tanks are pressurized with helium that is contained in pressure vessels located inside fuel and oxygen tanks. In contrast, the tanks in SHS will be pressurized autogenously using gaseous methane or oxygen routed from the engines, eliminating the need for a separate helium system. Musk said that the new tank pressurization method will be implemented in the first version of the SHS.
Stainless Steel vs. Carbon Composites
Regarding the transition from carbon composites to stainless steel, Elon Musk explained it in more detail to Popular Mechanics. SpaceX has chosen high quality 301 grade stainless steel, which should be an austenitic stainless steel with high chromium and nickel content. Musk said that the final material would not be exactly grade 301 because the alloy used would be gradually modified, but it should be something very similar to 301. Musk later also mentioned 310S steel that would be used on those parts of the ship that would experience the highest temperatures on reentry. Steel sheets are being manufactured by a supplier based on SpaceX specifications while SpaceX does its own casting in its foundry in Hawthorne. The steel is “coldformed at cryo“. The main advantages of the mentioned steel alloys are excellent properties at both low and high temperatures, they’re easily workable and have low cost (according to Musk, stainless steel is about 60 times cheaper than carbon composites). Starship will also need to be easy to repair on the Moon or Mars, and to work on steel, you only need a regular welding machine. Moreover, according to Musk, the transition to steel will counter-intuitively lead to an increase in the rocket’s payload capacity, not a reduction.
Thermal Protection System
Thanks to steel’s higher melting point, the new metal SHS design, will require “much less” thermal protection. That fact compensates for the higher weight of steel compared to carbon composites. This means that Starship’s leeward side does not need any heat shielding. On the windward side, Musk wants to use the very first regenerative heat shield:
A double-walled stainless shell—like a stainless-steel sandwich. You just need, essentially, two layers that are joined with stringers. You flow either fuel or water in between the sandwich layer, and then you have micro-perforations on the outside—very tiny perforations—and you essentially bleed water, or you could bleed fuel, through the micro-perforations on the outside. You wouldn’t see them unless you got up close. But you use transpiration cooling to cool the windward side of the rocket.
The two-layered sections of the rocket’s body will work as a heat shield and at the same time provide structural support. As a result, unfueled Starship will not collapse under its own weight, unlike old Atlas rockets that had thin steel tanks which had to be constantly pressurized with gas, or the whole thing crumpled.
Later, Musk explained that most of the windward side will consist of hexagonal tiles. Their shape was chosen because that way there is “no straight path for hot gas to accelerate through the gaps.” However, Musk did not say what material the tiles were made of. It’s been speculated that it could be made of 310S steel or potentially special TUFROC material (Toughened Uni-piece Fibrous Reinforced Oxidation-Resistant Composite), on which SpaceX and NASA have been collaborating since June 2018. Musk added that the transpiration cooling described above “will be added wherever we see erosion of the shield” so that the thermal protection system can be reused. “Starship needs to be ready to fly again immediately after landing. Zero refurbishment,” Musk added.
When returning from a low orbit, about 20% of the ship’s surface would be exposed to a maximum temperature of about 1476 °C (1750 K), an additional 20% to 1326 °C (1600 K), and the rest of the surface would reach a maximum temperature below 1176 °C (1450 K), which the 310S steel could withstand without any additional cooling. As for the temperatures that the Super Heavy booster would be exposed to on reentry, Musk explained that the temperatures on the hottest parts of the rocket should not exceed 330 °C (600 K) and the temperatures around the engine section will not exceed 925 °C (1200 K). Steel can handle those temperatures with just passive radiative cooling.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) January 25, 2019
Testing Starship heatshield hex tiles pic.twitter.com/PycE9VthxQ
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 17, 2019
Super Heavy Starship will be powered by full flow staged combustion Raptor engines that burn methane and oxygen. Methane has several advantages – it burns cleaner than kerosene used in Falcon rockets, so there is less coking on the engines (this helps with easy reusability), is cheap, and can be made on Mars (from hydrogen extracted from ice and from CO2 extracted from Mars atmosphere).
The Raptor will be the most powerful SpaceX engine with 2 MN of thrust, or roughly 2.5 times that of the Merlin 1D the Falcon rockets use. At the same time, it could be the highest thrust-to-weight ratio (TWR) engine in the world, outperforming Merlin 1D, the current record holder. However, Musk said that Raptor may not achieve thrust/weight & thrust/cost ratios higher than Merlin.
Regarding thrust throtlling, the 2016 Raptor was supposed to be able to throttle thrust down to 20%, but it proved to be a very difficult target. Elon Musk’s statement from March 2019 suggests that the first version of Raptor will only be able to throttle down to about 50%.
The original ITS concept from 2016 used more powerful Raptors with 3 MN of thrust, 42 engines on the first stage and 9 engines on the spaceship. The latest version of the rocket from 2018 is smaller and will use 31 Raptors on the first stage (the infamous Soviet N1 Moon rocket had 30 engines), while the the spaceship will use 7 Raptors. A subscale Raptor prototype with 1 MN of thrust was tested in a test facility in McGregor, Texas starting in September 2016. The engine, however, has undergone radical changes since then.
The first flight-worthy Raptor was shipped from Hawthorne to McGregor at the end of January 2019 and fired for the first time in early February. During the first week of testing, about 6 firings took place, one of which was approximately 11 seconds long and combustion chamber pressure of 268.9 bar was achieved. However, the engine was damaged during one of the tests. Second manufactured Raptor was shipped to Boca Chica Village, Texas, where it was integrated into the Starship test vehicle dubbed Starhopper. Third Raptor was spotted in McGregor in early April a was tested there (a 40-second firing was conducted at one point).
Unlike Merlin, Raptor does not use pyrophoric TEA-TEB (triethylaluminium triethylborane) for the initial startup. Musk revealed that methane gas and oxygen are ignited by heavy-duty spark plugs that “ignite dual blow torches that ignite preburners & main chamber.”
Regarding production, Musk said: “Some parts of Raptor will be 3D printed, but most of it will be machined forgings. We developed a new metal alloy for the oxygen pump that has both high strength at temperature and won’t burn. Pretty much anything will burn in high pressure, hot, almost pure oxygen.” For this purpose, “SpaceX metallurgy team developed SX500 superalloy for 12000 psi, hot oxygen-rich gas. It was hard. Almost any metal turns into a flare in those conditions.” SX500 should be a monocrystalline modern version of Inconel superalloy (nickel + chromium). Parts of the Raptor are also cast from Inconel in the SpaceX foundry.
The long-term goal of SpaceX is to achieve 300 bar of pressure in Raptor’s combustion chamber, but 250 bar is sufficient. But the engine should be capable of higher values, according to Musk. At a pressure in the main combustion chamber of more than 300 bar, the pressure in the oxygen preburner becomes a problem because it can reach over 800 bar which is “pushing the limit of known physics,” according to Musk.
In order to simplify development and production, SpaceX is currently developing only one version of Raptor, which will be used on both rocket stages. This Raptor variant is somewhere between an atmospheric and vacuum-optimized engine, but closer to atmospheric. This will make Starship less efficient in vacuum, resulted in reduction of maximum payload capacity from 150 tons to the current 100 tons. Elon Musk explained that future generation Raptor would exist in two variants. One will be optimized for operation in a vacuum and will have a specific impulse (Isp) between 380 and 382 seconds (for comparison, Merlin 1D-Vac has Isp of 311 s and the RL-10 engine powering the Atlas V rocket has Isp if 451 s). The vacuum version of Raptor will not have an extending nozzle like the RL-10 used on the Delta IV rocket. The second variant of future Raptor will be optimized for atmospheric flight and will have a specific impulse of around 356 seconds in vacuum and 2.5 MN of thrust (roughly the same as Blue Origin’s BE-4 methane engine).
Super Heavy (First Stage)
The first stage of the rocket is called Super Heavy, it will measure about 63 meters with a diameter of 9 meters and will be powered by 31 Raptor engines (but the first Super Heavy will probably fly with fewer engines in case the rocket fails). Less than 3 minutes after launch, Super Heavy separates from Starship and lands back on Earth just like Falcon 9’s first stage. Subsequently, it would be very quickly checked, refueled and used for the next launch.
Originally, Super Heavy was supposed to land directly on the launch mount to enable quick reuse. However, since the plan to use strong methane control thrusters has been abandoned for now (see section “Super Heavy Starship System” above) and the rocket will therefore be equipped only with regular nitrogen thrusters, landing directly on the launch pad will not be possible, at least initially. One of the advantages of this type of landing was Super Heavy would not need to have landing legs. Now, the Super Heavy design had to be modified. According to Musk, the gigantic booster will probably be equipped with the same flaps as Starship (these fins will also serve as landing legs). The flaps combined with thrust vectoring of the main engines will lead to Super Heavy being more maneuverable, thus eliminating the need for methane control thrusters. According to Musk, this will greatly simplify the rocket development. Musk also explained that unlike Starship, the Super Heavy booster will not reenter belly first, as Super Heavy’s center of mass will be much lower than Starship’s and will be more consistent (no variable payload mass to consider), so it will tend to fly engines first just like the Falcon boosters.
The structural strength of Super Heavy will be achieved by having the tanks contain “welded, internal, longitudinal hat stringers” as well as slosh baffles to provide hoop stifness, if needed. In contrast, Starship will be reinforced with a double-layered tank wall used for transpiration cooling on the windward side of the ship (see section “Thermal Protection System” above).
The shift to stainless steel has also led to the acceleration of Super Heavy development. It was originally going to be developed only after SpaceX figured out and proven the design of the spaceship portion of the rocket, which is more complicated because it needs to be able to handle reentry from orbital speeds. But according to Musk, the production of the first full-sized Super Heavy will begin in the spring of 2019.
Starship (Second Stage)
Starship will measure 55 meters with a diameter of 9 meters, will be powered by 7 Raptors and will be have an integrated payload section able to carry over 1000 cubic meters of cargo or up to 100 people. For crewed flights, the ship will have 40 cabins, each for 2 or 3 people, as well as common areas, canteens, shops and also a shelter where the crew can hide during a solar storm.
The ship has radially-steerable forward canards and aft fins used for pitch control in a new reentry profile resembling a descending skydiver. The aft fins act as landing legs, with a third leg on the top that looks identical but is fixed and serves no aerodynamic purpose. According to Musk, these aerodynamic surfaces are needed for maneuverability in all axes at supersonic speeds and different angles of attack.
In regards to keeping the propellants at the right temperatures during long flights to Mars, Musk said in 2017:
The main tanks will be vented to vacuum, the outside of the ship is well insulated (primarily for reentry heating) and the nose of the ship will be pointed mostly towards the sun, so very little heat is expected to reach the header tanks. That said, the propellant can be cooled with a small amount of evaporation. Down the road, we might add a cryocooler.
Starship also has fan-shaped solar panels to provide electrical power. Furthermore, the ship will be equipped with several rows of small windows and one large window near the nose.
For thermal protection, the steel surface will have stainless finish for maximum reflectivity. The surface will not be painted because “it will get too hot”. Musk also said that the windows might have a gold tint. As for thermal protection of Raptor engines, Musk said: “Raptors must be shielded during atmospheric entry. Although, maybe not…”
As for the ship’s interior, Elon Musk stated in September 2018 that various concepts had been developed. He pointed out that the interior would vary depending on type of mission. The interior of a ship going to Mars would be very different from the interior of a ship flying to the Moon, given the vastly different duration and the number of passengers. However, according to Musk, the interior design is important and the ship will have space for most fun activities that can be done in weightlessness.
Spaceship will not be equipped with a launch escape system. Musk said that because the rocket is reusable and will fly so often, its safety over time would be comparable to airplanes, so a typical crew escape system would not be needed. Modern airplanes also don’t have parachutes for passengers and one simply has to accept that there is a small chance of a tragic accident happening. However, it’s still far from certain, that SHS can really achieve this level of safety.
In addition to the main propellant tanks, Starship will also have smaller header tanks that will remain full until the landing burn. According to Musk, this is important because otherwise there would be a risk that the engines will suck in an air bubble caused by the propellant floating around the tank in weightlessness after launch. Such a bubble could damage the engines. Therefore, Starship will have smaller header tanks similar to those seen in the previous version of the BFR rocket . But Musk said that actual tanks would be a little simpler than those in the 2017 BFR presentation:
Starship will have several different variants. There would be at least one crew version, a cargo version and also a tanker version, which would be used to refuel other Starships in orbit. Musk said:
At first, the tanker will just be a ship with no payload. Down the road, we will build a dedicated tanker that will have an extremely high full to empty mass ratio (warning: it will look kinda weird).
Starship Test Vehicles
In South Texas, a short distance from the SpaceX launch pad near Boca Chica Village, the first Starship development vehicle started being built in December 2018. This experimental rocket, unofficially dubbed Starhopper, was built to conduct low-altitude test flights and will be equipped with three Raptor engines. But it’s probably going to be quite different from the final design of the ship, similarly to how Falcon 9 didn’t have that much in common with Grasshopper, which SpaceX used in 2012 and 2013 to test booster landings.
Brief history of Starhopper:
- On January 11, 2019, Starhopper was assembled for a photo session, but it was only an empty shell without functional engines, tanks, etc.
- Starhopper was then disassembled into two halves and work started on the lower half’s internals
- At the end of January, strong wind gusts tipped over and destroyed the hollow upper half of Starhopper
- In the following weeks, work on the lower half continued – tanks, cabling, piping, foot reinforcements, etc.
- On March 8, the completed lower half was transported to the nearby SpaceX launch pad
- On March 11, a new Raptor engine was shipped to the pad and few days later was installed on Starhopper
- On April 4, Starhopper was static fired for the first time (duration around 3 seconds). Two days later, another short firing occured. Afterwards, the Raptor engine was removed from Starhopper for unknown reason.
According to Musk, the prototype has the same 9-meter diameter as the Starship design but is shorter. The total height of Starhopper is estimated at 40 meters, while the final orbital rocket should be about 55 metres tall as per the September 2018 BFR presentation. Starhopper is only designed for relatively simple and short flights to low altitudes (up to 5 km with a total flight duration of 6 minutes, according to FCC license request), but SpaceX plans more advanced tests. In February 2018, Elon Musk described the test flight plan as follows:
By hopper test, I mean it’ll go up, you know, several miles, then come down. The ship is capable of single stage to orbit, if we fully load the tanks. So we’ll do flights of increasing complexity. We really want to test the heat shield material. So we’ll like fly out, turn around, accelerate back real hard, and come in hot, to test the heat shield. Because we want to have a highly reusable heat shield that’s capable of absorbing the heat from interplanetary entry velocities.
Although the ship’s design has changed since then, some orbital testing will be needed anyway. According to Musk, “subsections of the Starship Mk I orbital design” were being built in San Pedro. Additional parts of the Starship orbital prototype were being built in South Texas in March 2019, in the same place where the Starhopper was assembled. This orbital test version of Starship is likely to be much closer to its final design and should be ready around June 2019. According to Musk, it is “taller, has thicker skins (won’t wrinkle) & a smoothly curving nose section”. He also confirmed the protype’s legs will be equipped with shock absorbers.
There is a new launch pad being built in South Texas . Originally, Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy was supposed to launch from this pad, but few years later it was decided that the pad would be used primarily for Super Heavy Starship. SpaceX already has three pads for Falcon rockets, so there isn’t a great need for more, especially since SHS is supposed to eventually replace both Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy anyway.
The pad is located in southern Texas near Boca Chica Village and Brownsville. SpaceX bought the land in 2012 but significant construction work didn’t start until 2018 for various reasons. However, ultimate plans for the pad are not known and currently there is only basic infrastructure built to support the Starship test flights.
According to NASA Spaceflight, SpaceX’s launch pad 39A in Florida could be reworked to enable SHS launches while maintaining compatibility with Falcon rockets. This would certainly be useful in the first few years after SHS starts flying when both rocket families will be operated at the same time. SpaceX potentially using LC-39A for SHS is also supported by the ITS/BFR concept videos that included shots of the rocket launching from 39A. Also, Elon Musk announced in March 2019 that SpaceX is working on getting permission to launch SHS from both Texas and Cape Canaveral.
According to Gwynne Shotwell, SHS cannot be manufactured at SpaceX’s factory in Hawthorne due to its dimensions, as it would be very expensive to transport such large parts by road:
We thought we’d build [the BFR] in our factory in Hawthorne, but we priced transport to the harbor, and it came out to $2.5M per trip. It would require taking down stoplights, and just wouldn’t be worth it. So we will build a new facility by the water. We will eventually also have a number of production sites by our launch sites.
In April 2018 SpaceX leased property in Port of Los Angeles to build a rocket factory. The property is 4 hectares and is located only about 35 km from Hawthorne. SpaceX leased the land for 10 years at $1.38 million per year. The advantage of this site was its proximity to the SpaceX headquarters and the ability to draw on local workforce with long experience in the aerospace industry. The downside, however, was the need to transport the manufactured huge spacecraft by sea through the Panama Canal all the way to the launch pad in Texas or Florida.
However, the Los Angeles Times reported in January 2019 that SpaceX has abandoned these plans and will instead produce SHS in South Texas right where the rocket will launch from. This was also confirmed by a statement of an L. A. City Councilman who implied that SpaceX had canceled its plans for a factory in Port of L. A. In March 2019, Elon Musk announced that Starship & Super Heavy will be built near launch pads in both Boca Chica and Cape Kennedy simultaneously.
SpaceX intends to offer SHS for virtually any conceivable purpose. Musk mentioned the possibility of launching many smaller satellites at the same time, or creating new types of satellites that would benefit large payload section of Starship. No other company currently offers such a service so the size of satellites is often limited by the dimensions of fairly small payload fairings on regular rockets. Musk gave an example of a space telescope that, if launched on SHS, could have a mirror 10 times larger than the Hubble Telescope without any complicated folding. Coincidentally, NASA did a study to determine if SHS could be used to launch a gigantic space telescope LUVOIR with a mirror diameter somewhere between 8 and 18 meters. Additionally, SHS could collect old satellites or space debris if there is interest in the industry, Musk suggested. The rocket is also capable of supplying the International Space Station.
For most of these purposes, the Falcon family of rockets can be used, but not only is SHS supposed to be cheaper to operate thanks to full reusability, it can also deliver cargo efficiently to more distant destinations like the Moon or Mars. However, multiple launches are required because Starship needs to be refueled on orbit before embarking on these longer journeys.
SpaceX would like to have SHS operational as soon as possible. The company needs to launch nearly 12,000 satellites (not a typo) by 2027 for Starlink, its satellite constellation that would provide fast and cheap internet connection worldwide, and using Falcon 9 to launch all these satellites would be uneconomical and most likely impossible. Elon Musk said at the end of 2018 that Starlink V1 would launch on Falcon, V2+ on Starship.
SHS is also capable of providing extremely fast intercontinental transportation. In this scenario, SHS would launch from one of many floating launch platforms that would be close to big cities. Starship would then separate from the booster that would then land somewhere while the spaceship with passengers would continue on its way. Then, Starship would land near the destination city on a floating platform similar to the one it launched from. Most of these long-distance trips would take about 30 minutes. You could reach even the farthest place on Earth within an hour. According to Musk, the price for this mode of transport would be comparable to regular airline tickets and, according to SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell, the service will be operational within ten years.
Japanese billionaire Yusaku Maezawa paid a large sum of money for a week-long trip in Super Heavy Starship around the Moon and back. When he announced these plans in September 2018 , he also confirmed that he was the mysterious customer who paid SpaceX in 2017 for a flight around the Moon in Crew Dragon. But because the mission required Falcon Heavy, a rocket that SpaceX does not plan to certify for crewed flights, the trip will be done using SHS instead.
Maezawa is an art lover so he wants to share this unique space experience with other artists from around the world (painter, photographer, filmmaker, etc.) who will fly with him around the Moon. He believes that the works of art that will be inspired by the artists’ experience will contribute to world peace and awaken the dreamers in all of us. Maezawa calls this art project dearMoon and the current plan is to fly around the Moon in 2023.
The exact moon flight profile is not yet finalized, but the trip should take about 6 days. SHS will launch from Earth with Maezawa and 6 to 8 other artists on board and Starship will reach parking orbit around Earth. Then, the engines will be fired to guide the ship to the Moon where it will arrive in 2 days. Passengers will thus become the first private persons to get beyond Earth’s orbit. The flight phase near the Moon will take about a day, and then the ship will begin to return back to Earth, landing 2 days later. Elon Musk hopes to plan the mission in a way so that the ship gets very close to the Moon’s surface.
During the project’s announcement, Elon Musk stressed several times that it was a risky mission: “It’s a dangerous mission. We will do everything we can to minimize risks, but something might go wrong. Yusaku is a brave man.” Since this mission will carry only a few people, far below the maximum capacity of SHS, Musk said it would allow them to bring a lot of spare oxygen and other supplies with them in case there’s a problem during the journey. Musk wasn’t sure if a test Moon flyby with an empty SHS would be done prior to the real launch, but then said it probably would. At the same time, he explained that since the flyby would take only a few days, unlike a journey to Mars which takes months, there would be no need for a complicated closed-loop life support system where all water and other substances would be fully recycled. Instead, lunar missions can use the life support systems that SpaceX developed for Crew Dragon missions to the International Space Station.
Musk said that the journey would be livestreamed in virtual reality so that everyone could see what it’s like to be on board. He added that the Starlink satellite constellation, which should be in operation by then, could be used to transfer the data.
Maezawa declined to say exactly how much he had paid for the trip but Musk said it was a large sum that will cover a significant portion of the costs to develop SHS. Maezawa confirmed that he had already paid SpaceX a considerable advance.
Financing the Development of SHS
During the dearMoon event in September 2018, Elon Musk said that less than 5% of SpaceX resources were used for the development of SHS and only when the company had a Falcon and Dragon operations going smoothly would employees gradually shift focus to the SHS project. Musk expects that by the end of 2019, most engineers will be working on SHS.
Musk estimates the total cost of developing SHS to be about $5 billion, but he said it’s very hard to estimate. He added that it would certainly be more than $2 billion but probably less than $10 billion. By comparison, the development of the Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets cost between 1 and 2 billion dollars total.
SpaceX intends to fund the development of SHS with profits from launching commercial satellites, crew and cargo to the ISS and also the Starlink service. Another source of revenue would be deposits from customers like Yusaka Maezawa. The company can also continue to generate profits from Falcon operations, especially since the rockets should soon be able to be reused quickly and easily thanks to the Block 5 upgrades. According to Musk, SpaceX can stockpile Falcon stages and gradually stop making them altogether. Thanks to their reusability, they would be able to keep using them long after their production ends.
Moreover, thanks to the reusable first stage and fairing that together account for 80% of the cost of the entire rocket, the company would significantly increase its net profit from each launch. There is currently no reason for them to transfer savings from reusability to the customers by lowering the launch price, as SpaceX launches are already much cheaper than the competition. After SHS starts launching, customers will have the choice of having their cargo launched on a proven, and presumably more expensive, Falcon, or a new and more risky SHS that would be cheaper.
The US Air Force also contributed funds to the development of the Raptor engine, and according to SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell, it is likely that some money for rocket development can also be obtained from the government as the SHS will be capable of doing missions that will be of interest to the government. However, the development of the rocket will continue, even if the government does not contribute.
Development Schedule and Planned Launches
Preliminary plan of development milestones and planned launches:
- The first launch of Starhopper is planned for Spring 2019
- Starship’s first orbital prototype is currently being manufactured and is expected to be completed in June 2019
- Production of the first Super Heavy booster is expected to begin in Spring 2019
- Musk estimates a 60% chance that complete Super Heavy Starship will reach orbit in 2020 and added that the chances are “rising rapidly due to new [steel] architecture”
- The dearMoon lunar flyby is planned for 2023
Moon and Mars
Elon Musk somewhat optimistically hopes that two SHS rockets could go to Mars as early as 2022. He admitted that it’s a very ambitious goal but said that the few years left, to him, seem like a very long time. This initial launches to Mars would be uncrewed and their main purpose would be to identify potential risks, confirm the presence of water in the target area, and to deliver essential equipment needed to provide energy and life support for future missions and set up a mining operation.
The optimal launch window for trips to Mars opens once every 26 months, so if the 2022 cargo missions to Mars succeed, Musk thinks, first people could go to Mars in 2024. This time, four Starships would launch within the launch window – two with crew and two with cargo. The main purpose of this mission would be to launch SpaceX’s fuel production plant and build a small base that could be expanded in the future. Elon Musk estimates that it will take at least 10 launch windows for the base to become self-sufficient, so in 2050 at the earliest. In a 2017 presentation, Musk showed how the development of a Mars base could look like. The base centers around Starships and a solar-powered plant that makes methane and oxygen out of Mars ice and atmospheric carbon.
For regular people, the price for a ticket to Mars will be based primarily on the number of passengers, according to Muska. But he believes that the cost of moving to Mars (the return flight is free) will one day fall below $500,000 and maybe even below $100,000. That is a low enough for people in developed countries to sell their house and other earthly possessions and move to Mars if they wished.
However, given the fact that the current US government is showing great interest in the Moon, both Shotwell and Musk expect that SHS will fly to the Moon first and Mars will come later. Gwynne Shotwell hopes the missions will be part of an effort to build a permanent Moon base.
That said, Musk pointed out in 2018 that all of these plans are very theoretical and that for the time being, it is not certain that SHS will ever even fly successfully. He acknowledged that the whole project could fail, but also pointed to the rapid advancements that SpaceX has made over the past 10 years. In 2008, the company celebrated its first ever successful launch with a small Falcon 1 rocket, and only 10 years later, Falcon Heavy launched for the first time, the most powerful rocket in the world today. Also, SpaceX dominates the commercial launch market and its Falcon rockets are mostly reusable. Musk thinks you might not have found a single person in 2008 who would say that SpaceX could accomplish something like that within 10 years. Even he himself did not believe at that time that such a thing could be achieved. In other words, SpaceX is much more experienced today and no one can even guess what the company will achieve in the next 10 years.
Relevant Links and Videos
- Elon Musk Talks about the Advantages of Stainless Steel
- ITS/BFR/SHS and Other SpaceX Wallpapers
- Elon Musk’s 2017 Reddit AMA about BFR, Raptor and Mars
- Interplanetary Transport System Animation
- Elon Musk’s 2016 ITS Presentation
- Elon Musk’s 2017 BFR Presentation
- Elon Musk’s 2018 BFR/dearMoon Presentation
- Official dearMoon website
- April 30 – Added information about 40-second Raptor test firing + added new official Starship renders
- April 16 – Added some information about Starhopper progress and more details about the orbital prototype that’s being built
- April 4 – Added information about Starhopper static fire and third Raptor being tested in McGregor
- March 25 – Article first published